Katy Perry, Adele And More 2011 VMA Nominees … Possibly

I’ve been told that the nominations for the 2011 MTV Video Music Awards — which air live Sunday, August 28, at 9 p.m. ET on MTV — are going to be announced at some point on Wednesday (July 20), and that means you should probably get ready for a whole lot of Katy Perry. And Adele. And Britney Spears. And Lady Gaga. Oh, and Rihanna too.

That’s because, to paraphrase Beyoncé (oh yeah, she’ll probably get nominated too), it’s been girls who’ve run the world in 2011, and the VMAs will probably be no exception. Perry — who has basically been unstoppable since last summer — figures to be the most nominated artist, with this year’s breakout star, Adele, close behind. Britney, Gaga and all the rest figure to be in the hunt too. In fact, one has to wonder if the folks behind the show will just go ahead and eliminate the Best Male Video category altogether. More room for the ladies that way.

Of course, we won’t know for sure until those nominations are officially revealed, but while we wait, I figured it was time to dust off the old Prognostication Cap and try to predict the 2011 VMA nominees in advance. I’ve done this for seemingly every awards show in the past, and sometimes I even manage to avoid embarrassing myself completely (not always, though).

So without any advance knowledge — and using as many sweeping generalizations as humanly possible — here are my picks for the 2011 MTV Video Music Awards. Accuracy not entirely guaranteed.

Best Female Video
Sure, Video of the Year is the night’s biggest award, but given the success of every artist with a pair of X chromosomes, the Best Female Video might be the toughest — and not just to win. Predicting who even gets nominated is a challenge, considering there are only five spots available. Adele and Katy Perry seem mortal locks, and Rihanna is close. Britney will probably earn a nom too, which means that either Beyoncé, Lady Gaga or Nicki Minaj will be left on the outside looking in. Told you this was going to be tough. My picks:

» Adele, “Rolling in the Deep”
» Britney Spears, “Hold It Against Me”
» Beyoncé, “Run the World (Girls)”
» Katy Perry, “E.T.”
» Rihanna, “S&M”

Best Pop Video
Another big-time category, another bunch of deserving artists destined to be left out. I like Britney’s, Katy’s and Gaga’s chances, and I’ll toss Rihanna into the mix too. For the fifth spot, I went with Bruno Mars, since, otherwise, this category would basically just be Best Female Video, Part II. Of course, in doing that, I excluded Adele, Beyoncé, Ke$ha and about a dozen other worthy acts too. Prognostication is hard work, people.

» Britney Spears, “Hold It Against Me”
» Bruno Mars, “Grenade”
» Katy Perry, “E.T.”
» Lady Gaga, “Born This Way”
» Rihanna, “S&M”

Video of the Year
Last year’s Video of the Year race featured a trio of underdogs — 30 Seconds to Mars, B.o.B, Florence and the Machine — thrown into the mix. Will 2011 follow suit? Probably not. Adele seems to be a no-brainer, even if most folks have never seen the video for “Rolling in the Deep.” Katy, too, but it remains to be seen which of her videos gets the nod. (I went with “Firework.” It’s mad inspirational.) Em will be back — though one has to wonder if “Love the Way You Lie” peaked too early to be considered a genuine front-runner — and Gaga should return also. I went dark-horse with my fifth pick, taking the Foo Fighters’ “Rope” over bigger clips from Beyoncé and Rihanna, mostly because I’ve got a sweet spot for VHS.

» Adele, “Rolling in the Deep”
» Eminem (featuring Rihanna), “Love the Way You Lie”
» Foo Fighters, “Rope”
» Katy Perry, “Firework”
» Lady Gaga, “Born This Way”

Source: MTV